Showing posts with label flexibility. Show all posts
Showing posts with label flexibility. Show all posts

Friday, April 23, 2021

Not Only a Hammer

Cognitive flexibility is what is generally referred  to as “out of the  box thinking.” It is the ability to find multiple solutions to problems, analyze them and find what truly is the best one. Cognitive flexibility allows people to apply what they already know to new situations (Tough 114). In his book Think Again, Adam Grant refers to this as “scientific thinking” (Grant 2021, 20). Whatever the term, it is a way of approaching the world in that the first idea is not the best idea. Steven Johnson says one’s best idea doesn’t come until the 26th idea. Taking the time to conceive of that many ideas  takes some cognitive self control, where one doesn’t jump to the first solution that they may always rely on, the time worn “if all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail” sort of thinking. Sometimes the best solution is hidden by that hammer. In one activity created by the Stanford d.school, they  recommend including a dinosaur or an alien into one of the solutions, to expand the possibilities. 

Recently, I have begun to take it to a different place and think about, in the future, What will I hate, or at least be frustrated by with the solution in the future. Especially when I am building something. Unfortunately, I have created many things that frustrate me everytime I use them or think about them--sometimes to the point where I wish an actual dinosaur were available to make the changes I need.


Grant, Adam. Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don’t Know. Viking, 2021.


Tough, Paul.
How Children Succeed: Grit, Curiosity, and the Hidden Power of Character, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2012.

Saturday, April 3, 2021

Predictions

 The ability to create a "story," to project what will happen in the future rather than merely reacting to what is currently happening, or acting purely on instinct is what makes us human (Johnson 81). That is how stock brokers, professional sports general managers, and even people filling out NCAA basketball brackets and other prognosticators make their living. They take information at hand and make educated guesses about what will happen, often for financial gain. After studying 28,000 predictions by people in the media regarding economic and geopolitical events, political science professor Phillip Tetlock, concluded that often those people, when their predictions are examined after the event, are entirely wrong (Johnson 83). These events projected by “experts” are actually no better than a guess. It is almost like a lottery, most people don't win, but when they do, someone makes sure everyone knows it.

Tetlock did not leave it at that. He examined what separated (more) successful prognosticators from the others and he found that being able to identify unknowns (what Jimmy the Greek from the 1970’s NFL Today termed “intangibles”) and feel like they may be important led to more success. Having the flexibility to take in as much information as possible, while keeping crazy ideas in play was the most vital aspect of prediction.

Johnson, Steven. Farsighted; How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most. Riverhead Books, 2018.